UnclassifiedExpires Apr 29, 2026

Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)

Probability

1h

+0.1pp

24h

-3.1pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-9.7pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 21:00Apr 27, 2026, 20:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 3¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 28h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 28h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 28 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 27.8h

    HIGH
  • 20:44Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 28h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-3.1pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.

Biggest hourly move: -35.0pp at 3d ago (to 10¢).

Show top 8 of 32 hourly moves
  • 20:00 · -9.7pp → 3¢
  • 18:00 · -9.8pp → 3¢
  • 17:00 · -7.8pp → 3¢
  • 15:00 · -8.3pp → 3¢
  • 14:00 · -6.0pp → 5¢
  • 05:00 · -5.5pp → 6¢
  • 3d ago · -35.0pp → 10¢
  • 3d ago · +18.0pp → 29¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for April 28 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Boca Juniors" if CA Boca Juniors win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cruzeiro EC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebollibertadores.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.