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BusinessExpires Jul 1, 2026

LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?

Probability

17¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$1.38

Liquidity

$328.76

Probability (last 7 days)

-39.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:38
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1594h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 15.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1594.4h

    LOW
  • 13:38Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1594h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -34.5pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that LIV Golf will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with another entity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving LIV Golf or a parent/subsidiary company will qualify. LIV Golf ceasing to exist as an independent entity through merger, consolidation, or similar transaction will qualify. An announcement by LIV Golf or its acquiring entity within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest LIV Golf. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from LIV Golf and the acquiring entity; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jul 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (15.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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