LIV Golf merger/acquisition announced by June 30?
Probability
17¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$1.38
Liquidity
$328.76
Probability (last 7 days)
-39.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1594h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 15.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1594.4h
- 13:38SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1594h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that LIV Golf will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with another entity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving LIV Golf or a parent/subsidiary company will qualify. LIV Golf ceasing to exist as an independent entity through merger, consolidation, or similar transaction will qualify. An announcement by LIV Golf or its acquiring entity within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest LIV Golf. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from LIV Golf and the acquiring entity; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (15.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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