SportsExpires May 8, 2026
Creator

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

Probability

0¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-50.0pp

24h Vol

$32.0K

Liquidity

$226.9K

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active · uma=proposed

Derived status (Orrery)

UMA PENDING

Reason

Upstream UMA resolution status is 'proposed'.

Resolution is awaiting UMA confirmation. Price may move sharply when it settles.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 8, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
gol.gg
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires May 8, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 4, 2026, 18:00May 8, 2026, 15:51
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-08T15-51Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 50pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $32.0k traded against $226.9k of visible liquidity (0.14× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk observation firing

    Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 16:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 0.6h

    HIGH
  • 15:51Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-50.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -50.0pp at 14:00 (to 0¢).

Show 6 hourly moves
  • 15:51 · -50.0pp → 0¢
  • 14:00 · -50.0pp → 0¢
  • 13:00 · -49.6pp → 0¢
  • 10:00 · +11.5pp → 62¢
  • 09:00 · +5.5pp → 56¢
  • 07:00 · +5.5pp → 56¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

8
Same eventLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming match between Kiwoom DRX and Gen.G in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for May 8 at 6:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 2. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 2 is 28 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 2 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Why this category?

confidence: medium

Category

Sports

Source

Gamma category hint

Matched term

Sports

Reason

No rule fired; using Polymarket's own category hint "Sports".

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?"?

As of Fri, 08 May 2026 15:51:55 GMT, YES is priced at 0% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -50.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 8, 2026 (2026-05-08T16:30:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://gol.gg/esports/home.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$32.0K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $32.0K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $226.9K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 0.1¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket