UnclassifiedExpires May 6, 2026
Creator

Marriott Total Rooms above 1.78 million in Q1?

Probability

51¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$9.20

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 6, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
the most numerically precise version of total rooms reported in Marriott's official earnings materials
Type
Ambiguous wording
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (93.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 29, 2026, 00:00May 1, 2026, 13:59
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 93.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 106.0h

    LOW
  • 13:59Signal

    Resolution risk

    Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marriott's total rooms at the end of the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If Marriott's official earnings materials for Q1 2026 are released and total rooms are not included, this market will resolve to "No". If Marriott does not release quarterly earnings materials for Q1 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Marriott's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of total rooms reported in Marriott's official earnings materials. Only the total system-wide room count will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.