Marriott Total Rooms above 1.80 million in Q1?
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$6.55
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarythe most numerically precise version of total rooms reported in Marriott's official earnings materialsTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (94.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 94.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primarythe most numerically precise version of total rooms reported in Marriott's official earnings materialsTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (94.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 107.2h
- 12:45SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marriott's total rooms at the end of the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If Marriott's official earnings materials for Q1 2026 are released and total rooms are not included, this market will resolve to "No". If Marriott does not release quarterly earnings materials for Q1 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Marriott's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of total rooms reported in Marriott's official earnings materials. Only the total system-wide room count will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.