OtherExpires —

MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?

Probability

52¢

+0.0pp

24h

+12.5pp

24h Vol

$2.0K

Liquidity

$12.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+24.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 00:58

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

00:00Price
Probability up 8.0pp
to 52¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 7.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
21:00Price
Probability up 7.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 6.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 6.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 6.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 5.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability up 6.0pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability up 18.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 18.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability up 18.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability up 18.5pp
to 47¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 17.0pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 13.5pp
to 42¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 12.5pp
to 41¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 11.0pp
to 40¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 12.5pp
to 40¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 13.0pp
to 40¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 13.0pp
to 40¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.5pp
to 38¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 5.0pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 5.5pp
to 36¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 19.5pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 27.5pp
to 58¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 27.0pp
to 57¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 25.5pp
to 56¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 25.5pp
to 56¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 25.0pp
to 55¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 21.5pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 21.5pp
to 51¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventMegaETH FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by MegaETH will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: —
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Binary

No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket