MegaETH FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
Probability
18¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+4.0pp
24h Vol
$44.15
Liquidity
$6.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 18¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 17¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 14¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 21¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by MegaETH will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).