Bowed-Lard
0xb66875684bf58c52540ce77bd589bfa71a612145
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.16
Total PnL
$-23.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
49 shares @ 10.3¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.11
$-1.89
- YES
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.12
$-2.88
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
32 shares @ 9.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
85 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.47
$-3.53
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.22
$-2.78
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
14 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
MegaETH FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus vaccine in 2026? $5.22May 8, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$3.14May 8, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$3.09May 7, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$2.07May 7, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$2.07Apr 29, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$8.79Apr 29, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?$1.06Apr 28, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$3.16Apr 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLFelix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.44Apr 22, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$0.58Apr 22, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$0.60Apr 22, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$0.18Apr 22, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 1?$0.00Apr 22, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 1?$0.00Apr 22, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 22, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Apr 22, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$0.00Apr 22, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8?$0.00Apr 22, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?$0.00Apr 22, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 22, 05:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 05:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 14:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.