Spread: Athletics (-1.5)

• 01
  Price move

  Up 37pp over 24h

  Now 76¢; +47.0pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Volume pressure

  Heavy volume on this book — 1.6× turnover

  $24.6k traded against $15.8k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

• 03
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

• 04
  Liquidity

  Thin liquidity

  Only $15.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

• 05
  Resolution proximity

  Past expiry — awaiting resolution

  Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Athletics, scheduled for April 30 at 3:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.