Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants

1. 1

   Down 50pp over 24h

   Now 0¢; -42.4pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 167h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $18.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

4. 4

   UMA status: proposed

   An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

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In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for April 25 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Miami Marlins or San Francisco Giants. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.