Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

• 01
  Price move

  Up 43pp over 24h

  Now 82¢; +44.0pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

• 03
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 9.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for May 6 at 1:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.