Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
Probability
27¢
1h
-24.0pp
24h
-21.5pp
24h Vol
$26.5K
Liquidity
$2.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Down 22pp over 24h
Now 27¢; -24.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 11.5× turnover
$26.5k traded against $2.3k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 4
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 5
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:04SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 20:10ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
Price movement
-25.5pp over the last 24h, now 23¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for April 25 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Minnesota Twins and Tampa Bay Rays combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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