MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?
Probability
20¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-20.5pp
24h Vol
$20.00
Liquidity
$299.68
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 21pp over 24h
Now 20¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 25¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowPrice movement
-21.0pp over the last 24h, now 20¢.
Biggest hourly move: -24.0pp at 3d ago (to 17¢).
Show all 45 hour-by-hour ticks
- 13:00 · +3.0pp → 20¢
- 08:00 · +22.5pp → 40¢
- 06:00 · +19.5pp → 37¢
- 05:00 · +20.0pp → 37¢
- 03:00 · +23.5pp → 40¢
- 02:00 · +24.0pp → 41¢
- 00:00 · +22.0pp → 39¢
- 22:00 · +24.0pp → 41¢
- 20:00 · +23.5pp → 41¢
- 1d ago · +23.0pp → 40¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 17¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 17¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 17¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 17¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 17¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 17¢
- 1d ago · -7.5pp → 17¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -7.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -7.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -7.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -24.0pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -24.0pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -23.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -24.0pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -24.0pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -24.0pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -6.0pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -5.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -5.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -5.5pp → 17¢
- 3d ago · -6.0pp → 17¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.