Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

• 1

  Down 16pp over 24h

  Now 27¢; -14.5pp in the last hour.

• 2

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

• 3

  Thin liquidity

  Only $17.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

• 4

  Past expiry — awaiting resolution

  Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

• BUYST. LOUIS CARDINALS
  0xc0c2…b14d$2.11@ 62¢
  16s ago
• BUYST. LOUIS CARDINALS
  Sneaky-Armadillo$3.01@ 61¢
  16s ago

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for April 26 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.