Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Omega Esports vs Twisted Minds PH (BO3) - MPL Philippines Regular Season
Probability
43¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$218.32
Liquidity
$1.2K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 43¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 22h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04Resolution proximity
Expiry in 22h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 22 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 15:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 22.2h
- 16:48SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 22h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 43¢.
Biggest hourly move: -11.0pp at 05:00 (to 41¢).
Show top 8 of 12 hourly moves
- 16:48 · -8.5pp → 43¢
- 10:00 · -9.5pp → 43¢
- 09:00 · -10.0pp → 41¢
- 07:00 · -10.0pp → 41¢
- 06:00 · -10.0pp → 41¢
- 05:00 · -11.0pp → 41¢
- 03:00 · -10.5pp → 41¢
- 02:00 · -9.5pp → 41¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between Omega Esports and Twisted Minds PH in the MPL Philippines Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Omega Esports" if Omega Esports win the match against Twisted Minds PH. This market will resolve to "Twisted Minds PH" if Twisted Minds PH win the match against Omega Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Alerts
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