Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Virtus.pro vs Verso Time - Game 4 Winner
Probability
27¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$500.00
Liquidity
$1.2K
Canonical status
confidence: highSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Expiry is in the past but upstream has not confirmed a resolution.
Expiry passed and the market has not been officially resolved. Do not treat the price as the outcome.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 31, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $1.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 31, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 22:36SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 20:30Scheduled resolutionHIGH
Expiry passed 2h ago; not yet resolved upstream
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
9- 0¢0.0
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $10.7M
- 0¢0.0
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $10.6M
- 0¢0.0
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $10.1M
- 0¢0.0
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $10.1M
- 0¢0.0
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $9.2M
- 0¢0.0
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $6.6M
Market Description
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Virtus.pro and Verso Time in the MLBB Continental Championships Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 31 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win Game 4 against Verso Time. This market will resolve to "Verso Time" if Verso Time win Game 4 against Virtus.pro. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Why this category?
confidence: mediumCategory
Source
Matched term
SportsReason
No rule fired; using Polymarket's own category hint "Sports".
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Virtus.pro vs Verso Time - Game 4 Winner"?
As of Sun, 31 May 2026 22:36:18 GMT, YES is priced at 27% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by May 31, 2026 (2026-05-31T20:30:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$500.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $500.00. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $1.2K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 3.0¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.