Spread: Magic (-1.5)

• 1

  Light volume — move on a thin book

  Only $13.9k traded against $192.8k of visible liquidity (0.07× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

• 2

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

• 3

  Past expiry — awaiting resolution

  Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

• 4

  UMA status: proposed

  An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

In the NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Magic" if the Magic win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.