Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
Probability
7¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Wide spread — 4.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1570.7h
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 8¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 8¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 8¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 5¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 5¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 5¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 5¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 5¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 5¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 5¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.1pp
to 5¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 5¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.nhl.com/awardsNews consensus
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (4.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).