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OtherExpires Apr 26, 2026

Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5

Probability

55¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+3.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$5.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+3.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 4pp over 24h

    Now 55¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 32h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 6.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 32h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 32 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 32.2h

    HIGH
  • 14:47Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 32h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -13.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 26 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Lightning and Canadiens combine to score 6 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.nhl.com/scores
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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