Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 80B in Q1?
Probability
46¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$14.17
Probability (last 7 days)
+25.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 46¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 750h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 68.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 750.0h
- 18:02SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 750h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 46¢.
Biggest hourly move: +27.0pp at 2d ago (to 46¢).
Show all 32 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:02 · +25.0pp → 46¢
- 17:00 · +25.5pp → 46¢
- 15:00 · +25.5pp → 46¢
- 14:00 · +23.5pp → 45¢
- 12:00 · +26.0pp → 47¢
- 11:00 · +25.5pp → 46¢
- 09:00 · +23.0pp → 44¢
- 08:00 · +24.5pp → 45¢
- 06:00 · +25.5pp → 47¢
- 05:00 · +23.5pp → 45¢
- 03:00 · +24.5pp → 46¢
- 02:00 · +25.5pp → 47¢
- 00:00 · +25.0pp → 46¢
- 23:00 · +25.5pp → 47¢
- 21:00 · +23.5pp → 44¢
- 20:00 · +23.5pp → 45¢
- 1d ago · +24.0pp → 45¢
- 1d ago · +25.0pp → 46¢
- 1d ago · +25.5pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · +25.5pp → 46¢
- 1d ago · +24.5pp → 45¢
- 1d ago · +25.0pp → 46¢
- 1d ago · +23.5pp → 45¢
- 1d ago · +25.0pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +24.0pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · +20.5pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · +25.0pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +25.5pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · +24.5pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · +23.5pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +22.0pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · +27.0pp → 46¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nvidia’s data center revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Nvidia’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materialsAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (68.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.