Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?
Probability
74¢
1h
+3.5pp
24h
+8.5pp
24h Vol
$69.92
Liquidity
$871.72
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 9pp over 24h
Now 74¢; +3.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 843h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 20.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 843.4h
- 20:35SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 843h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+12.0pp over the last 24h, now 71¢.
Biggest hourly move: -16.0pp at 2d ago (to 63¢).
Show all 35 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · +4.5pp → 74¢
- 15:00 · +5.0pp → 72¢
- 09:00 · +3.5pp → 70¢
- 07:00 · +3.5pp → 69¢
- 05:00 · -5.0pp → 62¢
- 03:00 · -15.0pp → 53¢
- 02:00 · -10.0pp → 55¢
- 00:00 · -14.0pp → 53¢
- 22:00 · -15.5pp → 55¢
- 21:00 · -10.0pp → 59¢
- 1d ago · -7.5pp → 65¢
- 1d ago · -11.5pp → 68¢
- 1d ago · -8.5pp → 69¢
- 1d ago · -6.0pp → 67¢
- 1d ago · -11.5pp → 69¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 72¢
- 1d ago · -11.5pp → 69¢
- 1d ago · -12.5pp → 67¢
- 1d ago · -9.0pp → 70¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 69¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 66¢
- 2d ago · -6.5pp → 69¢
- 2d ago · -13.0pp → 64¢
- 2d ago · -13.5pp → 64¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 67¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 69¢
- 2d ago · -12.5pp → 68¢
- 2d ago · -6.5pp → 72¢
- 2d ago · -16.0pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 70¢
- 2d ago · -15.0pp → 64¢
- 2d ago · -16.0pp → 63¢
- 2d ago · -12.5pp → 67¢
- 3d ago · -11.0pp → 70¢
- 3d ago · -12.0pp → 69¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Pooh Shiesty (Lontrell Denell Williams Jr.) between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryOfficial government informationTypeOfficial government sourceConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.