Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$11.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6010h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 4.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6010.3h
- 18:41SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 6010h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 12¢.
Biggest hourly move: -6.3pp at 1d ago (to 11¢).
Show all 5 hour-by-hour ticks
- 1d ago · -6.3pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -6.3pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · +4.6pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 11¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
11- 0¢0.0pp
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $188.92
- 25¢+8.0pp
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $65.98
- 3¢0.0pp
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 26¢-5.5pp
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $47.99
- 55¢-12.0pp
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $18.00
- 100¢+22.4pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 54¢-3.5pp
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Other · Vol $649.4K
- 100¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $507.6K
- 48¢+3.0pp
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Other · Vol $488.2K
- 0¢-1.5pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $478.0K
- 1¢-0.1pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $373.6K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- using the total token supply multiplied by the token priceAmbiguous wordingextracted · lowx.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (4.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.