Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Probability
43¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$60.00
Liquidity
$3.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-14.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 43¢; -1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1588h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 9.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1588.4h
- 13:06SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1588h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 45¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 44¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 45¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 45¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 45¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 44¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 44¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 45¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 44¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 45¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 46¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 42¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 45¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 46¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 44¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 44¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 4¢0.0pp
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 6¢-2.0pp
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $11.70
- 14¢0.0pp
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $22.62
- 19¢-0.5pp
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $225.21
- 26¢0.0pp
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 36¢-2.7pp
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $5.00
- 33¢-1.5pp
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 57¢-2.5pp
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Other · Vol $434.13
- 2¢-2.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $720.6K
- 7¢-33.0pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $679.7K
- 86¢0.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $566.4K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $436.4K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Silver futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.html
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).