Space FDV above $140M one day after launch?
Probability
29¢
1h
+2.0pp
24h
+21.7pp
24h Vol
$48.99
Liquidity
$2.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+22.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6017.6h
- 11:23SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6018h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.2pp
to 29¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.4pp
to 30¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.4pp
to 31¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 32¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.7pp
to 33¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.9pp
to 34¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.8pp
to 34¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.6pp
to 35¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.8pp
to 34¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.3pp
to 37¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.3pp
to 33¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.6pp
to 34¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Space's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Space (https://x.com/intodotspace) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (37.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).