Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?
Probability
80¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+34.0pp
24h Vol
$60.71
Liquidity
$104.10
Probability (last 7 days)
+13.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 08:57SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 80¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 80¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 80¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 78¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 78¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 78¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 56¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 79¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 46¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 46¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 46¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 46¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 46¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 46¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 46¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoResolveHIGH
Market resolved 36h ago
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 69¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Market Description
As of market creation, T-Mobile US is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for T-Mobile US's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.01 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if T-Mobile US reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.01 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If T-Mobile US releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 23, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://seekingalpha.com/Ambiguous wording
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 23, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (31.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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