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BusinessExpires Apr 23, 2026

Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?

Probability

80¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+34.0pp

24h Vol

$60.71

Liquidity

$104.10

Probability (last 7 days)

+13.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 09:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 08:57Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -20.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -20.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -20.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -20.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -20.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -20.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -23.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -21.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -27.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoResolve

    Market resolved 36h ago

    HIGH
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

As of market creation, T-Mobile US is estimated to release earnings on April 23, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for T-Mobile US's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.01 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if T-Mobile US reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.01 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If T-Mobile US releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 23, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://seekingalpha.com/Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 23, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (31.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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