Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+50.0pp
24h
+50.4pp
24h Vol
$95.84
Liquidity
$22.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 50pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +50.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $22.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 19:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.0h
- 16:57SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:57PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 55.0pp
to 100¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 28¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 48¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 48¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 48¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 49¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 49¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 49¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 49¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 49¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 49¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 49¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 49¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 49¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between CGN Esports and FOKUS in the VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 25 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CGN Esports" if CGN Esports win Map 2 against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win Map 2 against CGN Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusvlr.gg
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.