SportsExpires Apr 27, 2026

Valorant: Otakar Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 2 Winner

Probability

45¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$433.41

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 15:00Apr 27, 2026, 05:48
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 2

    Wide spread — 9.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 3

    Expiry in 13h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 13 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 13.2h

    HIGH
  • 05:48Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 45¢.

Biggest hourly move: -6.0pp at 03:00 (to 45¢).

Show 3 hourly moves
  • 05:48 · -6.0pp → 45¢
  • 04:00 · -5.0pp → 45¢
  • 03:00 · -6.0pp → 45¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Otakar Esports and FALKE ESPORTS in the VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 27 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Otakar Esports" if Otakar Esports win Map 2 against FALKE ESPORTS. This market will resolve to "FALKE ESPORTS" if FALKE ESPORTS win Map 2 against Otakar Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.