BusinessExpires Apr 27, 2026

Will Verizon (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Probability

80¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$1.2K

Liquidity

$1.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 80¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 43h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 10.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 43h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 43 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 43.3h

    HIGH
  • 17:44Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 43h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 80¢.

Biggest hourly move: +9.0pp at 2d ago (to 84¢).

Show all 32 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 15:00 · +4.5pp → 83¢
  • 14:00 · +4.5pp → 83¢
  • 12:00 · +4.5pp → 83¢
  • 11:00 · +5.0pp → 84¢
  • 09:00 · +6.0pp → 84¢
  • 08:00 · +6.0pp → 84¢
  • 06:00 · +6.0pp → 84¢
  • 05:00 · +5.5pp → 84¢
  • 03:00 · +5.5pp → 84¢
  • 02:00 · +5.0pp → 83¢
  • 00:00 · +5.0pp → 83¢
  • 22:00 · +5.0pp → 83¢
  • 21:00 · +5.0pp → 83¢
  • 20:00 · +5.0pp → 83¢
  • 18:00 · +3.5pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 82¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 82¢
  • 2d ago · +6.5pp → 82¢
  • 2d ago · +6.5pp → 82¢
  • 2d ago · +9.0pp → 84¢
  • 2d ago · +9.0pp → 84¢
  • 2d ago · +9.0pp → 84¢
  • 2d ago · +8.5pp → 84¢
  • 2d ago · +5.5pp → 84¢
  • 2d ago · -3.0pp → 78¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 75¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

As of market creation, Verizon is estimated to release earnings on April 27, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Verizon’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.21 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Verizon reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.21 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Verizon releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlphaAmbiguous wording
seekingalpha.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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