Will White House post 200+ posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Probability
12¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
-9.0pp
24h Vol
$347.63
Liquidity
$367.44
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 148.1h
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 12¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 11¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 11¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 11¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 11¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 11¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 11¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 12¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 12¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 16¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 25¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 21¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 18¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 19¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 21¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between April 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://x.com/WhiteHouseOfficial government source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).