Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in April?

1. 1

   Down 4pp over 24h

   Now 5¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 391h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $2.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the April data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The April release is presently scheduled for May 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.