Hard-To-Find-Dot
0x1236a244c9799a5bf6cde4204a32ec1355a078be
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-347.02
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
11900 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.70
- YES
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
3280 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.56
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in April?
555 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.33
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in April?
554 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-57.36
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in April?
553 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in April?
553 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–3.25 in April?
552 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.38
- YES
Will a dozen eggs cost ≥$3.75 in April?
551 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 19?
239 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-13.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 19?
239 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-13.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?$14.00May 16, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in April?$137.83May 16, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 21?$49.53Apr 28, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.1KApr 28, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in April?$96.60Apr 23, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in April?$0.36Apr 22, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–3.00 in April?$0.96Apr 22, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two people dissent the April Fed decision?$18.00Apr 22, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 21?$40.64Apr 21, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 19?$238.80Apr 20, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 19?$97.80Apr 19, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 19?$0.04Apr 19, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 19?$0.12Apr 19, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 19?$0.12Apr 19, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 19?$0.12Apr 19, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 19?$0.12Apr 19, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 19?$0.08Apr 19, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 19?$56.00Apr 19, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 19?$7.66Apr 19, 13:01 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Miami on April 19?$238.80Apr 19, 13:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $10.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.