Will a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?
Probability
47¢
1h
-2.5pp
24h
-7.5pp
24h Vol
$100.00
Liquidity
$2.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 612.9h
- 11:03SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 613h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 49¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 49¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the home nation of the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League winner. If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa Conference League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 21, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).