Reflecting-Parka
0x72331957933c31bf27b0c506fce855cb055af0ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$2.24
Realised
$-88.56
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
1134 shares @ 59.1¢·now 76.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$866.38
$196.18
- AFGHANISTAN
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
1733 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$857.84
$-60.65
- NO
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
580 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$553.90
$49.30
- NO
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
170 shares @ 76.4¢·now 89.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$152.49
$22.61
- AFGHANISTAN
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
674 shares @ 27.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$138.51
$-48.19
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
49 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.00
$13.72
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
36 shares @ 78.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.66
$5.58
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
317 shares @ 36.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$28.53
$-85.59
- YES
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
45 shares @ 15.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.72
$-2.02
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.10
$1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill a team from England be the 2026 Conference League winner?$2.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Japan" during the State of the Union address?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMDiscord IPO in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMBird flu vaccine in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMNew pandemic in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stranger Things: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMFogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 4?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill TurkXBT win the Defi App trading competition?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEM20+ trapped Hamas fighters allowed to leave in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Zootopia 2" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.00Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $146.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.