Will Adam Gray advance from the CA-13 primary election?
Probability
91¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$75.00
Liquidity
$11.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 908.7h
- 03:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 909h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
9- 0¢0.0pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $7.9M
- 2¢-1.4pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $640.2K
- 43¢-5.4pp
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $555.9K
- 21¢+5.0pp
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Politics · Vol $450.8K
- 5¢-0.9pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $404.3K
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $396.5K
Market Description
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 13th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).