Imperfect-Compliance
0x1df606ddfa330f8a3e5a661e2860909b85f0b6af
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-283.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Tony Gonzales out as US Rep by May 31?
10253 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.25
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?
4451 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.04
- NO
Will "Michael" score at least 25 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
279 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- NO
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?
265 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 39.0% in April?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Doris Matsui advance from the CA-07 primary election?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?
56 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump's face on US gold coin by July 4?$10.00Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMNocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30?$10.27Jul 4, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMKim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?$20.45Jul 3, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30?$9.09Jul 1, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$9.64Jul 1, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMKash Patel out by June 30?$11.29Jul 1, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$20.51Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMKanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?$9.09Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?$15.00Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$27.12Jul 1, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Vo advance from the CA-45 primary election?$12.50Jun 12, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$9.09Jun 1, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$9.26Jun 1, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill another Canadian MP cross the floor by May 31, 2026?$9.73Jun 1, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$11.00Jun 1, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$11.53Jun 1, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMSwalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?$15.33Jun 1, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$18.52Jun 1, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMCory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?$24.90Jun 1, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$18.52May 18, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 05:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 06:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.