Will Alex Consani be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Probability
27¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$6.10
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto Vogue's list of the Best Dressed Stars at the 2026 Met GalaLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (47.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 48h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 47.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 48 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto Vogue's list of the Best Dressed Stars at the 2026 Met GalaLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (47.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 48.0h
- 00:00SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 48h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 27¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled to occur on May 4, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes' if the listed individual appears on Vogue's list of Best Dressed Stars from the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to Vogue's list of the Best Dressed Stars at the 2026 Met Gala. A qualifying list must be understood to be the 2026 equivalent list of the following articles, but need not be explicitly titled "The Best Dressed Stars From the 2026 Met Gala". (see: https://www.vogue.com/slideshow/best-dressed-stars-met-gala-2024, https://www.vogue.com/slideshow/best-dressed-stars-met-gala-2025) If Vogue does not release a best-dressed list by May 15, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.