Will Andrew Painter win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
Probability
35¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+28.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5698h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 69.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5698.2h
- 13:47SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5698h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 35¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 35¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (69.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).