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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Nov 12, 2026

Will Andrés Reyes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?

Probability

43¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

+0.3pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$566.89

Probability (last 7 days)

+3.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4807h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 84.8¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 4807.3h

    LOW
  • 16:43Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 4807h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 3.2pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.6pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.4pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.6pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Nov 12, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (84.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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