Bland-Metronome
0x0325cdd441e451c887cde20621567584fa8c16e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$13.8K
Total PnL
$-288.28
Realised
$727.25
Win rate
70%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7632 shares @ 50.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.3K
$3.5K
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
1306 shares @ 61.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$907.54
$111.09
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
944 shares @ 85.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$722.16
$-80.24
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
827 shares @ 73.1¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$657.46
$53.03
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
619 shares @ 83.3¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$544.72
$29.13
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
6010 shares @ 8.3¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$492.85
$-7.19
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
559 shares @ 80.7¢·now 74.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$415.47
$-36.02
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4733 shares @ 6.5¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$404.67
$97.66
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
377 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$356.26
$54.77
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7632 shares @ 50.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$293.81
$-3.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.74Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- SPLITWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.46Jul 17, 15:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 16, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.73Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.52Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- SPLITWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$3.4KJul 12, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$32.30Jul 12, 22:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $278.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.