Where can I see the live data, signals, and whale flow for this market?

Orrery's per-market terminal at https://orrery.me/markets/will-apex-be-the-top-us-netflix-movie-this-week-158 renders a 7-day probability chart, recent trades scoped to this market, top YES/NO holders, all firing signals (momentum / divergence / flow / resolution-risk), and an AI-generated movement explanation. A machine-readable Markdown summary is available at https://orrery.me/markets/will-apex-be-the-top-us-netflix-movie-this-week-158/markdown.

EntertainmentMulti-outcomeExpires May 12, 2026

Creator

Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Probability

5¢

-0.2pp

24h

-34.4pp

24h Vol

$544.34

Liquidity

$1.5K

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

LIVE

Reason

Active market, expiry beyond the near-expiry window.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 12, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States
Type
Ambiguous wording
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d

May 5, 2026, 21:00May 7, 2026, 06:23

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-07T06-23Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors

01
Price move
Down 34pp over 24h
Now 5¢; -0.2pp in the last hour.
02
Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
03
Spread cost
Wide spread — 8.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 12, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States
Type
Ambiguous wording
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 113.6h
LOW
06:23Signal
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
LOW

Price movement

-34.4pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feed Browse related markets Alert me on the next trade

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventWhat will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Category · Entertainment

Market Description

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Why this category?

confidence: medium

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?"?

As of Thu, 07 May 2026 06:23:24 GMT, YES is priced at 5% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -34.4pp in the last 24 hours, -0.2pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 12, 2026 (2026-05-12T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$544.34 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $609.34. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $1.5K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 8.0¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

19 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket