Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Max Holloway next?
Probability
7¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-0.3pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$86.22
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 7418h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 11.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 7417.9h
- 22:05SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 7418h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.2pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.
Biggest hourly move: -4.2pp at 2d ago (to 6¢).
Show top 8 of 18 hourly moves
- 1d ago · -3.2pp → 5¢
- 1d ago · -3.1pp → 5¢
- 1d ago · -3.1pp → 5¢
- 2d ago · -4.2pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -3.6pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -3.2pp → 8¢
- 3d ago · -3.4pp → 8¢
- 3d ago · -3.2pp → 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryto the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC boutTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (11.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.