Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Probability
16¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+1.9pp
24h Vol
$267.76
Liquidity
$1.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 764.3h
- 03:40SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 764h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 16¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 17¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 16¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.9pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.8pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.1pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.6pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.2pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.4pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.6pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.2pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.3pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.4pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 15¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in 3rd place in the 2025–26 English Premier League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 3rd in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 3rd in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (6.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).