0xeffe44f3fdc489d6cdcff47b40875d450bd62b3c
0xeffe44f3fdc489d6cdcff47b40875d450bd62b3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$42.94
Total PnL
$15.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$13.33
$12.26
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.90
$6.95
- NO
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.74
$0.75
- NO
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 86.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.00
$0.69
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 42.8¢·now 42.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.71
$0.00
- NO
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.29
$1.28
- NO
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.27
$-1.78
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$0.16
- NO
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.05Apr 20, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$4.71Apr 20, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?$5.00Apr 20, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$4.31Apr 20, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$4.99Apr 20, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$0.95Apr 20, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?$0.70Apr 20, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.07Apr 20, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.02Apr 20, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 20, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$1.01Apr 20, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 20:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.