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CryptoExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 25?

Probability

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$37.0K

Liquidity

$13.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:36
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Heavy volume on this book — 2.7× turnover

    $37.0k traded against $13.7k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $13.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 13h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 13 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 04:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 13.4h

    HIGH
  • 14:36Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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