Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 5M ETH before 2027?
Probability
74¢
1h
+0.3pp
24h
+1.7pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+6.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 74¢; +0.3pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6015h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 40.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6015.5h
- 13:32SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6015h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 74¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 76¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 74¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 73¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 73¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 73¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.8pp
to 72¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.6pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.1pp
to 74¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.4pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.1pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.1pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.4pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.1pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.7pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.8pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.4pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.7pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.8pp
to 75¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitmine officially announces that the company’s total Ethereum holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings. For reference, Bitmine's reported ETH holdings can be tracked at: https://www.bitminetech.io/investor-relations#sec-filings market will be official announcements from Bitmine as to their total ETH holdings.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (40.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).