Suburban-Bellows
0x6f6f5cfeeb37a82d5f821597aa776be855ba1e55
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-750.75
Realised
$1.47
Win rate
55%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the Labour Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
3196 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.78
- NO
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
1667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?
1177 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- NO
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?
1089 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
1067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pacto Histórico win 18-20 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.55Jun 27, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Jun 26, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.08Jun 26, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.08Jun 26, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$20.11Jun 11, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the June meeting?$10.86Jun 9, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$1.83Jun 9, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?$5.44Jun 9, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?$10.85Jun 9, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.44Jun 9, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.16Jun 9, 03:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Jerry" during Rick and Morty E3 S9?$6.23Jun 7, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?$3.15Jun 7, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$7.33Jun 7, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$10.49Jun 7, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05Jun 7, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 22 be between 85 and 90?$2.10Jun 7, 13:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $11.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.