Will Borussia Dortmund qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$286.57
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3058h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 9.3¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3058.2h
- 13:47SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3058h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢-47.9pp
Will Bayern Munich qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 37¢-16.0pp
Will Bayer Leverkusen qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Other · Vol $209.94
- 8¢-42.5pp
Will RB Leipzig qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Other · Vol $110.16
- 51¢+0.5pp
Will Eintracht Frankfurt qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 5¢-45.0pp
Will VfB Stuttgart qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Other · Vol $110.10
- 0¢-46.5pp
Will VfL Wolfsburg qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Will SC Freiburg qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5pp
Will FC Augsburg qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.1pp
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $11.0M
- 7¢0.0pp
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $2.0M
- 55¢+22.0pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $878.9K
- 21¢+8.5pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $724.4K
- 4¢+0.4pp
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Geopolitics · Vol $691.9K
- 4¢-0.7pp
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $652.4K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Conference League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Conference League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (9.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).