Will Bournemouth qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Probability
36¢
1h
+2.1pp
24h
+9.7pp
24h Vol
$19.82
Liquidity
$233.82
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 10pp over 24h
Now 36¢; +2.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 57.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3079.7h
- 16:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:18PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 36¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 34¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.4pp
to 36¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 32¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.6pp
to 34¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 24¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 32¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.7pp
to 35¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.7pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.6pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.9pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.4pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.6pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.9pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.7pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.1pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.6pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.6pp
to 27¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Champions League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 English Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team qualified for the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the EPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (57.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).