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SportsExpires Sep 1, 2026

Will Bournemouth qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Probability

36¢

1h

+2.1pp

24h

+9.7pp

24h Vol

$19.82

Liquidity

$233.82

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:18
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 10pp over 24h

    Now 36¢; +2.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 57.5¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3079.7h

    LOW
  • 16:18Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:18Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 7.4pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 6.6pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.1pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 5.1pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 8.7pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 9.7pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.6pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.3pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.6pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.7pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.1pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.6pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.3pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.9pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.4pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.6pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.9pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.7pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.1pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.6pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.6pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.7pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Champions League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 English Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team qualified for the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the EPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Sep 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (57.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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