Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Probability
33¢
1h
-6.9pp
24h
-0.4pp
24h Vol
$287.43
Liquidity
$1.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 752h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 13.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 752.1h
- 15:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 752h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.3pp
to 40¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.3pp
to 40¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 38¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.4pp
to 42¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.1pp
to 42¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.1pp
to 40¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.3pp
to 30¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.1pp
to 30¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 33¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 33¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.7pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.3pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.6pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 33¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in last place in the 2025–26 English Premier League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in last place in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in last place in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).