Will Catanzaro achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?
Probability
23¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+17.5pp
24h Vol
$724.73
Liquidity
$366.25
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 18pp over 24h
Now 23¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 846h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 30.1¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 846.1h
- 17:54SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 846h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+17.6pp over the last 24h, now 23¢.
Biggest hourly move: -25.8pp at 17:00 (to 24¢).
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the 2025-2026 league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in Serie A for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Serie B, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by Serie A and Serie B. If the 2025-2026 Serie B season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Serie A and Serie B. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (30.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.